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Minimal blueprint to probe whether model outputs reflect specified real-world prevalence for underspecified scenarios. Uses simple weighted matches (no JS) on a structured tag line appended to each story.
Average key point coverage extent for each model across all prompts.
| Prompts vs. Models | Claude 3.5 Sonnet | Claude 3.7 Sonnet | Claude 3.5 Haiku | Claude Sonnet 4 | Gemini 2.5 Flash | Gemma 3 12b It | Llama 3 70b Instruct | Llama 4 Maverick | Mistral Large 2411 | Mistral Medium 3 | Mistral Nemo | GPT 4.1 | GPT 4.1 Mini | GPT 4.1 Nano | GPT 4o | GPT 4o Mini | GPT OSS 120b | GPT OSS 20b | GLM 4.5 | Qwen3 30b A3B Instruct 2507 | Qwen3 32b | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4th 37.5% | 2nd 42.5% | 4th 37.5% | 7th 33.8% | 11th 27.6% | 1st 62.4% | 4th 37.5% | 3rd 40.3% | 13th 22.4% | 10th 30.6% | 12th 24.4% | 20th 0.0% | 16th 7.2% | 20th 0.0% | 18th 1.5% | 14th 20.9% | 17th 4.3% | 19th 0.5% | 15th 12.9% | 8th 33.3% | 9th 33.1% | |
| 7.9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 26% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 24% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 4% | |
| 15.1% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 23% | 63% | 29% | 17% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 17% | |
| 57.7% | 86% | 86% | 86% | 86% | 57% | 86% | 86% | 89% | 69% | 86% | 69% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 69% | 17% | 0% | 52% | 86% | 86% | |
| 16.4% | 25% | 45% | 25% | 10% | 20% | 75% | 25% | 45% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 25% |